Abstract

We propose to model the coastal upwelling ecosystem within the Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary (MBNMS) with high spatial (kms) and temporal (days) resolution. The high-resolution coastal model is nested within regional and basin-scale models. The model includes the interconnected physical, chemical, and biological processes, and is capable of assimilating data from satellites and in-situ sensors. The model will focus on simulating the observed seasonal and interannual variations in physical oceanographic forcing and the chemical and biological consequences. The rich historical data-base and excellent matrix of real-time ocean observing systems available in the MBNMS provide a unique environment for the development of the next generation of coupled coastal physical-biological models. Long-term (decadal and longer) simulation and prediction will contribute to policy, short term simulation will guide management. The model will enable the managers of the MBNMS to fulfill their mandate of promoting "resource protection, research, education, and public use." It will also direct future observational efforts within the MBNMS.

The supports for the implementation of a 'node' for data assimilation and modeling activities. These activities will focus on the local application of global and basin-scale ocean data assimilation results to solve practical ocean-related problems inshore of the continental shelfbreak. Our focus will be on the domain of the Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary. We propose to develop a high-resolution coastal model that will simulate physical, chemical, and biological processes within this domain. The nested model will be capable of assimilating global-scale ocean nowcasts and remote sensing data sets. The model will be used by local, state, and federal agencies for the management of harmful algal blooms, for the advection and redistribution of pollution, and for long-term planning.

The proposal brings together academic (UCSC, UCLA, Duke, Univ. of Maine), industry (HOBI Labs), non-profit (MBARI), and government (JPL, NPS, NRL, MBNMS) partners. Included are physical, chemical, and biological oceanographers as well as atmospheric scientists, model developers, and resource managers.